Market collapse? ... or business as usual?

There seem to be really mixed messages out there at present - lots of firms seem to be thriving and recruiting really aggressively. But then can consulting really be escaping any fall-out from the credit crunch and the barrage of doomsday headlines we've been seeing?

So I thought I'd turn to you our readers for the definitive view. Let me know your thoughts on the following 3 questions and the results of the poll will appear on screen when you hit submit. Hopefully we can get a couple of hundred responses this month and get a really good picture of what the UK consulting market is doing...

Take part in 1 minute survey

P.S. feel free to post replies to this blog post to share anecdotal evidence as well - either than the market is collapsing or that it's very much business as usual at your firm...

Thanks for participating.

Tony Restell, Top-Consultant.com

To see readers' comments or add your own comment click here now

Consulting industry bounces back after talk of recession

This week I was invited to write a piece for the Consulting Special that appeared in the Evening Standard on 19th February. It's my take on the yo-yo fortunes of the consulting industry over the last few months - and the more positive landscape that now lies ahead. Would be interested to hear your thoughts on my take, so do submit your comments below...

Consulting industry bounces back after talk of recession

After several months of uncertainty, consulting firms now expect 2008 to be another vintage growth year for the consulting industry.

The last months could best be described as “nailbiting” for those at the helms of the world’s major consulting firms. The fallout from the global credit crunch had the consulting industry trembling. Week after week of gloomy headlines had produced an environment in which major corporate clients were reluctant to commit to any new initiatives. Did major corporations need to prepare for a slowdown, or embark on new growth initiatives? With the economic climate on a knife edge, CEOs of the world’s biggest businesses were undecided – and to an extent still are.

We’ve witnessed a difficult few months for consulting firms precisely because there’s nothing worse for them than a period of paralysis. In a booming market there are growth strategies and M&A opportunities to advise on. When businesses are cutting back, consultancies will be right there to help clients decide where to wield the axe. In either market there is business to be won. It’s the grey area in the middle that consultancies fear. With uncertainty about the economic outlook comes a hesitation to sign off new engagements. So after several years of double-digit revenue growth, the leaders of the world’s major consulting brands were staring at a possible consulting recession - if the world’s stock markets didn’t settle and market sentiments show signs of improving.

The problem these consulting leaders face is that their sector is more susceptible than most to periods of economic uncertainty. Within a six month period, the industry can be turned on its head. Firms that were so busy they were turning away business can find work drying up as paralysis prevents new engagements from being signed off. With engagements lasting an average of six months, consultancies face a collapse in their revenues if there are just a few months of economic uncertainty As we entered 2008, this was exactly the situation that consultancies were facing. Lots of new assignments were being discussed with clients, but few deals were actually being closed. The industry was just months away from having to implement cutbacks and redundancies – and with staff costs accounting for 66% of a typical firm’s cost base, redundancy programs tend to be far-reaching once Partners decide they are necessary.

Fortunately a corner has now been turned and the consulting industry is bouncing back. Whilst a few firms are still struggling, most are now reporting that clients are signing off on new projects – and skills shortages rather than a lack of new business look like being Partners’ major headache for the remainder of the year. A combination of interest rate cuts and improved market sentiments have ensured that business leaders cannot sit on growth initiatives indefinitely. Projects are being kicked off again and another bumper year is now being anticipated by consulting Partners. Everyone associated with the sector can breathe a collective sigh of relief.

The impact of all this uncertainty on recruitment has been pronounced. Industry website Top-Consultant.com reports that 22% of consulting employers have delayed the start of their 2008 recruitment drives as a result of the global credit crunch and resulting market uncertainties. January, usually a bumper month for candidates wanting to find a new consulting job, has been somewhat subdued. “Interview cycles have been prolonged by employers and offer letters have taken longer to get out to candidates” confirms Bryan Hickson, a Director at Top-Consultant. “Everyone has been anxious to avoid a situation where new hires were being brought on board just as the market might have been turning. As a result recruitment campaigns were scaled back and those candidates already in the recruitment process found themselves being stalled as much as possible.”

Now all that is changing and the volume of recruitment advertising is finally catching up with the improved market sentiments. A staggering 75% of consulting employers report they are looking to hire staff this year at least as fast as they did in 2007 – and 2007 itself was considered to be an exceptionally buoyant recruitment year. Yet having had recruitment more or less on hold in January, many firms now have some very sizeable hiring targets to hit and only 10 months of the year left to hit them. “We can expect to see a lot of inter-firm poaching of staff and a willingness to bring in talent from outside the consulting industry as the year unfolds” predicts Hickson. Rosier times, it would seem, lie ahead. Unless that is a severe recession bites, in which case a totally different type of cost-cutting consultants can expect to be in demand.

To see readers' comments or add your own comment click here now

Social Networks and Recruitment - What's on MyFace?

Many Top-Consultant readers will already know the name Don Leslie. One of the founder-directors of Management Consultancy recruitment specialists BLT, Don is one of our industry's best-known recruiters. This week's blog entry is the first in a series of guest contributions from Don - who also blogs about Management Consultancy and recruitment on the BLT Blog, http://www.bltog.co.uk/

What’s on MyFace?

As well as using social networking sites such as Friends Reunited, MySpace and FaceBook to engage and recruit staff (as Ernst & Young are doing), employers are increasingly using these sites to carry out background checks. Although I haven’t heard of any consulting firms doing so, I’m sure they are. According to the Times, a survey of 600 British companies revealed that one in five had logged on to Facebook and other networking websites to vet potential employees. As Steve Bailey from BackgroundChecking.com noted in a recent article:

"We are increasingly asked to undertake media searches and Internet searches as part of our employee screening services and this looks to become a standard element in the future. The findings of these searches can provide valuable insight into personality and current and past events involving a particular candidate who has consented to background checks."

It seems that - finally – members of these social networking sites are realising what damage they might be doing to their career prospects through ‘inappropriate’ postings. Much has been made of the case of the Oxford undergraduate Alex Hill who was disciplined after the university accessed incriminating pictures on Facebook. Hill complained that "I don't know how this happened, especially as my privacy settings were such that only my friends and students in my networks could view my photos." The trouble of course is that it's not just about what you post. It's what others post about you. Here are two close calls I’ve heard about recently…

A friend – let’s call him James – was photographed on a beach. With his trousers down. And a firework between his buttocks. The sequence showed… well, it ended with a burnt bum. You can imagine the rest.

Another, a friend of a friend – let’s call her Alison – was mentioned in connection with some teenage shoplifting adventures.

Both are professionals in their late 30s/early 40s. The incidents were from years back. And – here’s the problem – they were posted on other people’s profiles. Now what would the outcome be if an employer or potential employer were carrying out a bit of due diligence?

Professional networking sites such as Linkedin.com and Xing.com are all very well. But social networking sites… I’m not so sure. Be careful. There’s more to them than you might think - undertaking due diligence on your own name might be a good start..

All views expressed in this article are those of Don Leslie and do not necessarily reflect the views of Top-Consultant.com

To see readers' comments or add your own comment click here now

Deloitte win 2nd "Consultants Challenge"

The Young MCA this week attracted 12 teams comprising 120 consultants to compete in the 2nd "Consultants Challenge" - a fun inter-firm competition in aid of the charity "Depaul Trust"







Top-Consultant.com sponsored the event for the 2nd year running and £1,600 was raised for charity during the night. This year we brought along ten of our team to "strengthen" any other firms who were short of team members on the night. A big thank you from us to all the firms for welcoming us into their teams with open arms (and my apologies to the KPMG team at this point, to whom my only significant contribution was a series of bull's eyes on the rifle range!).

FINAL RESULTS

With Accenture having won last year's event, this year's was keenly contested and the top six teams at the end of the night were:

1st place -- Deloitte (aka "Glitter")
2nd place -- PwC (aka "Police")
3rd place -- Atos Consulting (aka "Bowler Hats")
4th place -- BT Global Consulting (aka "Blues Brothers")
5th place -- Turner & Townsend (aka "Straw Hats")
6th place -- PA Consulting (aka "Vikings")

* aka names signifying the style of hat the teams had to wear throughout the competition!

A fun night was had by all and our thanks go to Natalia and the rest of the team at the MCA for organising such a great event.

PHOTO GALLERY

Deloitte celebrate winning the trophy, flanked by honorary Top-Consultant team member Sacha Jackson

The KPMG team successfully identify 6 mystery cities, leading me to realise that gap years have moved on a fair bit since my days in the early 90s!

Tony Restell, Top-Consultant.com

To see readers' comments or add your own comment click here now

Get your copy: Consulting supplement in today's Times newspaper

We've got a major consulting supplement appearing in today's Times newspaper. Looks like a good read for anyone wanting an update on trends and challenges in our industry.

You can get a free PDF of the supplement by clicking here

Happy reading!

Tony Restell
Top-Consultant.com

To see readers' comments or add your own comment click here now

Consultants in the dock again

So the Public Accounts Committee has found that of the £2bn + of public money being invested in the services of the consulting industry, around £500 million a year is being needlessly spent. If this is really the case, it seems staggering to me that consulting firms feel the full force of the resulting outcry. Surely if government mandarins squander 1/4 of all tax revenues entrusted to them, it is they that should be in the dock. If they'd spent this money jetting public sector workers around the world to watch every Formula 1 race in the calendar, it would be government rather than Formula 1 bosses in the dock.

Yet this is the peculiar way in which the media report on anything to do with the consulting industry. Conveniently overlooking the fact that these public sector contracts are not hugely lucrative (witness the low profit margins of public sector practices) and can be very risky (think back to the NHS NPfIT programme for an example of consulting firms getting burnt on public sector assignments). Instead we are greeted with headlines like the following and the blame is effortlessly shifted away from those who are truly culpable:

Anger as government pays £63 a second to consultants (The Scotsman)
Labour blows £2 billion-a-year on army of Whitehall advisers (Evening Standard)

Now of course there are examples of consulting projects that have failed to deliver - and a whole raft of reasons for such failures. But to suggest that the majority of this spend has yielded no return to the taxpayer is just farcical.

We are, it seems, doomed to a perception with the public that's just marginally above that of an estate agent or used car salesperson...

Tony Restell

To see readers' comments or add your own comment click here now

Last week was our annual recruiters' event in London, where we presented the latest recruitment trends to a packed house of management consultancy recruiters. The various findings (bonuses, pay rises, retention rates, candidate acquisition channels, etc.) will be reported in our newsletter over the coming month. But for now - for all those thinking of looking for a new career in consulting - I wanted to share with you just what a buoyant market this now is!

Based on data submitted by all the top consulting firms, we were able to calculate that to achieve revenue growth targets for the year, firms would need to hire the equivalent of 24% of their existing headcount over the coming 12 months. That's a phenomenal level of recruitment activity - and bodes well for anyone who's job-hunting in the next months.















As the chart shows, 18% revenue growth is expected in 2007 - a repeat of the growth seen in 2006. 7% of this revenue growth could come from an inflation of fee rates, but the rest needs to come from billing more days of consulting. With the top firms acknowledging they have no spare capacity at present, the rest of this growth (11%) has to come from bringing in new hires. Add to this the expected 13% staff churn rate for 2007 (up from 10.3% in the last year) and you have the 24% growth rate confirmed.

Exciting times for all you consulting candidates!

;-)

Tony

To see readers' comments or add your own comment click here now

Your view counts!

In recent weeks there've been many forum threads on Top-Consultant.com, discussing the relative merits of using a recruitment agency - or avoiding them altogether. There've also been some comments about the most - and least - professional agencies out there.

Our annual reader survey has just been launched and gives you the chance to find out how consulting candidates are currently looking for a job; which channels and providers they recommend other readers should use; what the general recruitment market conditions are likely to look like in the coming months - and much much more.

It takes just a couple of minutes to share your thoughts - and your views would be highly appreciated! Every contributor will receive a copy of the full PDF report, so to take part simply click here now.

For those anxious to progress their job search ASAP, it may be helpful to know that the two recruitment agencies our readers have voted for most highly in the past are BLT and Prism.

Happy job hunting and thank you for taking part in this year's survey.

Tony

To see readers' comments or add your own comment click here now

Videos - Accenture, Atos Consulting, BearingPoint, BT....

A short post to confirm that the careers fair recordings are now live - full length videos of all the presentations given by:

o Accenture
o Atkins Management Consultants
o Atos Consulting
o BearingPoint
o BT Global Consulting
o Celerant Consulting
o EDS Consulting Services
o Ernst & Young
o Hedra Plc
o KPMG
o Management Consultancies Association
o PA Consulting Group
o TATA Consultancy Services

To view these simply go to:
http://www.top-consultant.com/career_fair2006/contents.asp

Happy viewing! Tony

To see readers' comments or add your own comment click here now

Careers Fair -- Videos

A great big THANK YOU to everyone - consulting firms and readers alike - who made this year's Consultancy Careers Fair such a huge success.

I've just seen the video recordings of the presentations given by many of the top consulting brands on the day - many provide fantastic insights into what it would be like to work at that particular firm. These will all be available to watch on Top-Consultant.com within the next week and I hope they will really help you to make the right decision about your next consulting employer.

In the meantime, my colleagues have loaded up a photo album that gives a great impression of the scale and reach of the Consultancy Careers Fair. If you missed this year's event do take a look here...

Will have those videos ready for you to watch ASAP.

Tony

To see readers' comments or add your own comment click here now